Governors race

29.83Poll avg.
CandidatePredicted Vote %Win Prob.
Yolanda R. Flowers33.1%2%
Kay Ivey66.9%98%

About Alabama

Alabama is a southern state, bordering the Gulf of Mexico and Florida. It has gained infamy recently due to its--allegedly--racially biased congressional maps.


Yolanda Flowers (D)

Image of Yolanda Flowers Source: Yolanda Flowers' Campaign Site

Kay Ivey (R)

Image of Kay Ivey Source: Alabama Governor Site

Employed in academia for 20 years, was a full-time substitute teacher from 2016-2019. Has never held a public office. Believes heavily in God.

Current Alabama governor, claims 2020 election was stolen


Yolanda Flowers won both the Democratic primary with 33.1% of the vote and the Democratic primary runoff with 55.1% of the vote

Kay Ivey won the Republican primary with 54.8% of the vote.

Issues & controversies

  • Immigration policies
  • Voting rights
  • Education system reform

Campaign ads

Chance of winning over time

We run our model twice a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.


Recent polls

Polls consist of polls ranked C- and above gathered by FiveThirtyEight.

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