Governors race

56.27Poll avg.
CandidatePredicted Vote %Win Prob.
Jared Polis56.1%82%
Heidi Ganahl43.9%18%

About Colorado

In 2021, 67% of residents of Colorado identified as White/non-hispanic. 22.3% identified as Hispanic/Latino, 4.1% identified as Black, 3.4% identified as Asian, 0.2% as Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander, and 2.5% as multiracial. As for political leanings, 42% identified as Democratic/Democratic leaning, 41% identified as Republican/Republican leaning, and 17% identified as no leaning. There is a rather high number of Colorado Gubernatorial election candidates, notable candidates include Democratic incumbent Jared Polis and Republican candidate Heidi Ganahl.


Jared Polis (D)

Image of Jared Polis Source: 5280

Heidi Ganahl (R)

Image of Heidi Ganahl Source: University of Colorado Website

Jared Polis has served as the Colorado governor since 2019 and previously served as a representative of Colorado's 2nd congressional district. Polis is the first openly gay man to be elected as a U.S. governor.

Heidi Ganahl founded an international pet care service called Camp Bow Wow. She was elected as Regent of the University of Colorado in 2016, making her the first statewide elected Republican candidate in Colorado.


Polis ran unopposed in the Democratic primaries as an incumbent.

Ganahl ran against one other candidate in the Republican primaries, winning by only 7%.

Issues & controversies

Polis focuses on making Colorado more affordable, protecting the environment, and enforcing stronger gun control laws. He is also an advocate for LGBTQ+ and abortion rights. Ganahl prioritizes fighting against addiction, improving the cost of living, and providing support for individuals experiencing mental health crises.

Campaign ads

Chance of winning over time

We run our model twice a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.


Recent polls

Polls consist of polls ranked C- and above gathered by FiveThirtyEight.

No polls to display.