Rhode Island

Governors race

57.23Poll avg.
CandidatePredicted Vote %Win Prob.
Daniel J. McKee63.2%98%
Ashley Kalus36.8%2%

About Rhode Island

Rhode Island, a U.S. state in New England, is known for sandy shores and seaside Colonial towns. It's home to several large cities, including Newport, which is famed for sailing and Gilded Age mansions, such as The Breakers.


Dan McKee (D)

Image of Dan McKee Source: Ballotpedia

Ashley Kalus (R)

Image of Ashley Kalus Source: [Ballotpedia]](https://ballotpedia.org/Ashley_Kalus)

Dan McKee is the incumbent. He was sworn in when the previous governor resigned to serve as the US secretary of commerce. Seems to be a pretty general democrat. Not a maverick, follows typical democratic ideals. Main ideologies involve education initiatives and providing increased economic opportunities.

Ashley Kalus seems to be a pretty far right conservative candidate, She focuses much on educational policy. Although she hasn’t spoken directly out against it, she seems to be against critical race theory and its inclusion in school curriculums.


The primaries where quite close on the democratic end. McKee had 32.8% while the next candidate was 30.6%. There were 5 total candidates, more than the republican primary. The republican primary was not hotly contested while the democratic was

The republican primary happened in mid september, where Ashley Kalus won by a lot (83.6% vote), going up against one other candidate.

Issues & controversies

There isn’t much controversy on Kalus’ side. For McKee, he only assumed the position a year ago when the previous incumbent resigned. Not sure if this would qualify as controversial, but Dan McKee only barely made it out of the primaries, while Kalus’ was practically unmatched.

Campaign ads

Chance of winning over time

We run our model twice a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.


Recent polls

Polls consist of polls ranked C- and above gathered by FiveThirtyEight.

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