Governors race

23.72Poll avg.
CandidatePredicted Vote %Win Prob.
Theresa A. Livingston25.3%0%
Mark Gordon74.7%100%

About Wyoming

Wyoming is the least populous state in the US, and is known for being one of the two essentially-rectangular states, along with Colorado. Situated in the Mountain West, its landscape is a mix of mountain rangelands and prairies. It was the first state to grant women suffrage, which gave it the nickname "The Equality State". Historically, it was known for its ranching, but today its economy relies on fossil fuel extraction and tourism to its beautiful vistas.


Theresa Livingston (D)

Image of Theresa Livingston Source: Ballotpedia

Mark Gordon (R)

Image of Mark Gordon Source: Wikipedia

Livingston has no prior political experience other than a state senate candidacy in 2020. She served in the US Air Force from 1972 to 1981, and later worked in the Department of Interior and as a paraeducator.

Gordon was previously appointed as State Treasurer under prior governor Matt Mead (R) from 2012 to 2019, following the death of the previous Treasurer. From 2008 to 2012 he was one of the 9 directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City as a Class B director, which are elected to represent the public. Gordon also has many years of experience in the oil and gas industry He comes from a family of Wyoming ranchers and attended Middlebury College in Vermont.


Gordon has served for one four-year term since 2019 and won his primary with 62% of the vote.

Livingston won the Democratic primary with 71% of the vote. The Republican primary had in total over 23 times as many votes as the Democratic primary.

Issues & controversies

During his term as governor, Gordon has come in conflict multiple times with Donald Trump, who called him “not too helpful.” One of Gordon’s flagship projects in the wake of the pandemic is the “Energy Rebound Program,” which provides relief funding for oil and gas businesses. He advocates for lean government, and boasts the smallest state expenditures in a decade. He also objects to many federal government programs that he perceives as interfering with states rights, such as the Green New Deal, and has filed numerous lawsuits to stop those laws and regulations. Overall, he’s very big on energy, and Wyoming’s energy is mostly fossil fuels.

After announcing her candidacy in May of this year, Livingston campaigned on women’s healthcare rights, education reform, and marijuana decriminalization. She advocates for moving government incentives away from Wyoming’s large fossil fuels industry and towards renewable energy. She wants more women and younger people involved in government, and decided to run “because someone had to stand up for women’s rights.” She has mentioned support for Medicare/Medicaid expansion, as well as mental health care in the state.

Campaign ads

  • Consensus thus far is that Livingston's campaign has not as of yet produced a campaign ad.

Chance of winning over time

We run our model twice a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.


Recent polls

Polls consist of polls ranked C- and above gathered by FiveThirtyEight.

No polls to display.