|Candidate||Predicted Vote %||Win Prob.|
About South Carolina
South Carolina is historically a Republican-voting state. With a population of 5.1 million, South Carolina is the 23rd most populous state and the state with the eigth highest percentage of the population that is black at 27 percent. 67 percent of the state is white, and the state has historically been solidly conservative. There are about 3.3 million registered voters in South Carolina, most of them being older citizens.
Krystle Matthews (D)
Tim Scott (R)
Krystle Matthews (D) is the challenger. She has been a State Representative of District 117 since November 12, 2018.
Tim Scott (R), the incumbent, is Trump endorsed. He has been in office since January 2, 2013.
In the initial Democratic primary election, Matthews won 33.2% of the vote, making her the 2nd of 2 Democrats to race in a runoff. The other two candidates had 34.7% and 32.1% of the vote, so she barely made it to the runoff. She won the runoff with 56.0% of the vote.
The Republican primary election was canceled, meaning incumbent Tim Scott advanced.
Issues & controversies
Krystle Matthews (D): Matthews believes that young adults, minorities, women, and working families are the backbone of our state. She has been a champion for women and girls, veteran’s issues, economic development, and infrastructure. https://www.live5news.com/2022/09/09/watch-live-us-senate-nominee-hold-news-conference-sc-democrats-call-her-quit/
Tim Scott (R): Scott is strongly pro-life and supports the Child Interstate Abortion Notification Act, Pain-Capable Unborn Child Protection Act, and the No Taxpayer Funding for Abortion Act. He believes that the government has been overreaching into the lives of many U.S. citizens and vows not to do so to his people. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/tim-scott-comments-race/2021/04/29/4b666c1a-a8ff-11eb-8c1a-56f0cb4ff3b5_story.html
Chance of winning over time
We run our model twice a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.
Polls consist of polls ranked C- and above gathered by FiveThirtyEight.