Pennsylvania 20 votes
Biden is favored to win
|Candidate||Predicted Vote %||Win Prob.|
Pennsylvania is a large, mountainous state with an extremely diverse array of large cities and small towns. Pennsylvania is a heated battleground state, with three very close Congressional elections and very narrow margins in the previous presidential races. Gun control is a major issue in Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania boasts a vast State Game Land system for year-round hunting. Fireworks are legal in Pennsylvania, though all neighboring states prohibit them. Hershey's and several potato chip companies are based in Pennsylvania.
Chance of winning over time
We run our model at least once a day. Explore how our prediction has changed over the course of the race.